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Russia’s Belgorod Declares State of Emergency Amid Intensifying Ukraine Incursion

News Mania Desk/Agnibeena Ghosh/15th August 2024

The Belgorod region in Russia has declared a state of emergency following a dramatic escalation in shelling from Ukrainian forces. This recent development marks an expansion of the conflict into Belgorod, a neighboring region of Kursk, where attacks have been ongoing for over a week.

The emergency declaration on Wednesday comes after a significant surge in Ukrainian artillery and rocket fire, which has severely impacted the local population. Belgorod Governor Vyacheslav Gladkov described the situation as “extremely difficult and tense,” highlighting the destruction of homes and the resulting civilian casualties. In response to the escalating violence, local authorities have evacuated around 5,000 children to safety camps and have reported that approximately 11,000 people have been displaced, with about 1,000 taking refuge in temporary shelters.

The Ukrainian offensive, which began with a surprise assault on August 6, is considered the most substantial attack on Russian soil since World War II. Analysts estimate that around 10,000 Ukrainian troops, equipped with armor and heavy artillery, are involved in the offensive. The scale of the attack has prompted Russian President Vladimir Putin to reportedly seek accountability from military officers for their failure to prevent the incursion.

The situation has led to significant unrest within Russia, with Russian officials noting that more than 100,000 individuals have been evacuated from the Kursk region alone. Ukrainian forces claim control over 74 settlements in Kursk, though this figure is contested by Russian authorities.

Footage broadcast by Ukraine’s 1+1 TV channel has shown damaged Russian military vehicles and Ukrainian troops providing humanitarian aid and removing Russian flags from administrative buildings in the border town of Sudzha. This footage highlights the extent of the Ukrainian presence and the impact of the conflict on local infrastructure.

The Russian government faces a strategic dilemma as it must decide whether to divert troops from critical front lines in Donetsk—where securing a breakthrough is a key objective—to defend Kursk and manage the escalating situation. U.S. President Joe Biden has acknowledged the complexity of the situation, describing it as a “real dilemma” for Putin, though he refrained from commenting further on the details of the ongoing conflict.

According to the Institute for the Study of War, the incursion is unlikely to significantly alter the broader conflict dynamics. The Russian military is expected to maintain a focus on Donetsk while deploying limited irregular forces to Kursk to avoid slowing down operations in more strategically important areas.

On the ground, the conflict has affected local sentiment. A Belgorod resident, who wished to remain anonymous due to security concerns, noted a decrease in open support for the war among locals as the violence has become more personal and visible.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has framed the Kursk operation as a morale booster for Ukraine after nearly 900 days of war, urging unity and efficiency reminiscent of the early days of the conflict. Meanwhile, Russia’s Ministry of Defense reported overnight that it had destroyed 117 Ukrainian drones and four missiles across eight of its regions.

As the situation evolves, the conflict’s impact on both the strategic and civilian fronts remains a critical concern, shaping the course of the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine.

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